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Such an excellent summary

The trillions of dollars that the Bush and Obama administration have given away to Wall Street would have been enough to buy a great bulk of the mortgages now in default – mortgages beyond the ability of many debtors to pay in the first place. The government could have enacted a Clean Slate for these debtors, financed by re-introducing progressive taxation, restoring the full capital gains tax to the same rate as that levied on earned income (wages and profits), and closing the tax loopholes that effectively free finance, insurance and real estate (FIRE) sector from income taxation. Instead, the government has made Wall Street virtually tax exempt, and swapped Treasury bonds for trillions of dollars of junk mortgages and bad debts. The “real” economy’s growth prospects are being sacrificed in an attempt to carry its financial overhead.

via CounterPunch: Tells the Facts, Names the Names.

Continuing the documentation..

The Commerce Department’s National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) for May show that U.S. “savings” are now absorbing 6.9 percent of income.

I put the word “savings” in quotation marks because this 6.9 per cent  is not what most people think of as savings. It is not money in the bank to draw out in  rainy-day emergencies like losing one’s job, as thousands are every day. The statistic means that 6.9 per cent of national income is being earmarked to pay down debt – the highest savings rate in 15 years, up from actually negative rates (living on borrowed credit) just a few years ago. The only way in which these savings are “money in the bank” is that they are being paid by consumers to their banks and credit card companies.

via CounterPunch: Tells the Facts, Names the Names.

I have been thinking that we need to follow out the logic of two paths.

1. that we can cope with climate change, and then, how? It is largely dependent now on societal and political considerations, all undermined by economic issues. Yet economy and tech have to be part of the solution.

2. that we cannot make changes, in which case we need to be thinking about, ok, then what? Massive coping and..?

In the context of these two, looking at the role of tech and innovation is very interesting. To the extent that we tie tech and economics to #1 Only, we may miss many opportunities.

In particular I am partially convinced that the way to dealing with climate change is more in diversification than in a technocratic centralist project. We need flexibility more than a plan.

On finance, health, education, energy  and climate as well as redressing the dmage done by income concentration from regan t Bush 2,  Obama needs to fight fierce. Is he biding his time or losing his advantage? The stylle of compromise tends to set the momentum of this admin which may be difficult toc hange. The expectation now is, compromise on everything.

A White House that is more interested in promotion than in product development has another great drawback: it squanders talent. Mr Obama has impeccable taste in advisers: he has scooped up many of the country’s pre-eminent experts in almost every area of public policy. One wonders why. On the main domestic issues, they are not designing policy; they are working the phones, drumming up support for bills they would be deploring if they were not in the administration. Apart from anything else, this seems cruel. Mr President, examine your conscience and set your experts free.

The greatest waste of talent in all this, however, is that of Mr Obama himself. Congress offers change without change – a green economy built on cheap coal and petrol; a healthcare transformation that asks nobody to pay more taxes or behave any differently – because that is what voters want. Is it too much to ask that Mr Obama should tell voters the truth? I think he could do it. He has everything it takes to be a strong president. He is choosing to be a weak one.

via FT.com / Columnists / Clive Crook – Obama is choosing to be weak.

I’ve suspected stabilization, but at a lower level of employment, and a lower level of the economy. GDP down by say three percent from the high, unemployment up by 7 percent. That means that the richer can maintain the same level of income, while the poorer take the hit. This is the new reality, the new stabilization.

From the Financial Times: Romer upbeat on US economy

Ms Romer, chairman of the US president’s council of economic advisers, told the Financial Times in an interview she was “more optimistic” that the economy was close to stabilisation.

via Calculated Risk.

This is just terrible. Let’s decrease benfits for the bottom in order to not tax the top. Martin Feldstein writes

It would be wrong for the Obama administration and Congress to reduce the fiscal stimulus in 2009 or 2010, since there is no clear evidence of a sustained upturn. But it would be equally wrong to allow the national debt to double to 80 per cent of GDP a decade from now. Increasing taxes even more than proposed would weaken demand in the near term and hurt economic incentives in the long run. The fiscal deficit should therefore be reduced by curtailing the increases in social spending that the president advocated in his election campaign.

Higher braket taxpapers do not cut demand. It is ordinary people lower down who spend what they get and with more income and benefits keep demand higher. The hidden fact in the paragraph is whath  he means by taxes. Is this lying, bad intent? Tthe workings of a mind can be strange.

via Economists View.

I’ve mentioned her before. The key is she says financial services are eating up so much profit that not enough is available for the nextphase of ubiquitous computing, the phasw where returns on invesment at the whole of society really take off. But now stunted.

TECHNOLOGICAL REVOLUTIONS

AND FINANCIAL CAPITAL:

The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages

Carlota Perez

via CARLOTA PEREZ.ORG – Carlota Perez Official Website.

This is a warning: stimulus package distribution controlled by large enterprises for already existing projects. It will not reach small business. China is an example, and the US is probabaly an example.

The major response to declining growth was the announcement of a 4 trillion yuan (US$586 billion) stimulus package in November 2008 to be spent over the next two years. As usual, provincial authorities will be the main entities that effectively oversee any stimulus spending. After the announcement was made, within a fortnight, provincial authorities submitted proposals worth approximately 10 trillion yuan.

For example, investment proposals worth 3 trillion yuan from Yunnan province and worth 2.3 trillion yuan from Guangdong province were received. Significantly, these proposals overwhelmingly consisted of big-ticket fixed-investment projects. The amount provincial authorities proposed to allocate to poverty alleviation and social welfare initiatives was small.

via Asia Times Online :: China News, China Business News, Taiwan and Hong Kong News and Business..

124. More. Privatiztion. We know what that means.

The IMF and World Bank’s debt relief program requires countries to first implement a series of harmful economic reforms such as privatization of basic services before obtaining debt cancellation. Haiti was admitted into the IMF and World Bank’s program (or HIPC, Heavily Indebted Poor Countries, Initiative) in April. The government is now committed to undergo a minimum of two years of structural reform before reaching “completion point” in the program and being granted debt relief.

via HaitiAnalysis.com IDB Debt Cancellation for Haiti .

This is a major part of the problem. US cmmercail banks hold much of the positive paper.

In Haiti, more than half the country’s debt was contracted by the Duvalier family dictatorship (1957-1986). Harvard economist Michael Kremer reports that Jean-Claude Duvalier stole $900 million from the Haitian people. According to a 2006 UN sponsored census, half of Haiti’s population was born after the Duvalier era and forced to carry this debt burden from birth. The Haitian people were not consulted about these loans, and received little benefit from them. But now they are forced to repay them. It is unjust that Haiti is being asked to comply with economic policies such as privatization of basic services or increased trade liberalization before obtaining full debt cancellation.

via HaitiAnalysis.com IDB Debt Cancellation for Haiti .

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